Projections Through 1/20/12

There weren't any games of major significance last night, so for today's update, I have separated out the teams that have a shot at a #1 seed.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (12):
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Great West, Horizon, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southland, SWAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (8):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Big West (Long Beach State)
Colonial (Virginia Commonwealth)
Ivy (Harvard)
MAAC (Iona)
Southern (Davidson)
Summit (Oral Roberts)
Sun Belt (Denver, Middle Tennessee)
WAC (Nevada, New Mexico State)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (1):
Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
OVC (Murray State)


21 One-Bid Leagues + 10 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 48 teams will get in:
1 "One-Bid League" leader (Murray State) is also atlarge worthy. 1 + 10 + 37 = 48


Fighting For #1 Seeds (8):
Baylor, Duke, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio State, Syracuse

Fighting For Protected Seeds (19):
Alabama, Connecticut, Creighton, Florida, Georgetown, Gonzaga, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas State, Marquette, Michigan, Michigan State, Murray State, San Diego State, St. Mary's, UNLV, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Wisconsin

Probable (13):
California, Dayton, Florida State, Louisville, Memphis, New Mexico, Purdue, Seton Hall, Southern Mississippi, Mississippi State, Temple, Virginia, Wichita State

Bubble (8 In, 6 Out):
BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Colorado State, Harvard, Iowa State, Marshall, Minnesota, North Carolina State, Northwestern, Oral Roberts, St. Louis, Texas, Xavier

Long Shots (20):
Arizona, Arkansas, Davidson, Denver, Iona, Long Beach State, Louisiana State, Massachusetts, Miami (FL), Middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico State, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, Oregon, St. Joseph's, Stanford, Virginia Commonwealth, Wyoming

Bubbles That Have Popped (Top 80 RPI):
Akron, Bucknell, Cleveland State, Colorado, Missouri State, Norfolk State, Ohio, South Dakota State, Virginia Tech, Wagner, Washington, Weber State