Projections Through 1/27/12

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (14):
Without a conference tournament, the Ivy League will not have a surprise 2nd team.
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Great West, Horizon, Ivy, MAC, MEAC, MAAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southland, SWAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (6):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Big West (Long Beach State)
Colonial (Virginia Commonwealth)
Southern (Davidson)
Summit (Oral Roberts)
Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee)
WAC (Nevada)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (1):
Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
OVC (Murray State)


21 One-Bid Leagues + 10 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 49 teams will get in:
2 "One-Bid League" leaders (Murray State & Harvard) are also atlarge worthy.   2 + 10 + 37 = 49


Fighting For #1 Seeds (9):
Baylor, Duke, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan State, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio State, Syracuse

Fighting For Protected Seeds (19):
Connecticut, Creighton, Florida, Florida State, Georgetown, Gonzaga, Illinois, Kansas State, Marquette, Michigan, Mississippi State, Murray State, San Diego State, St. Mary's, UNLV, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Wichita State, Wisconsin

Probable (14):
Alabama, BYU, California, Dayton, Harvard, Indiana, Louisville, Memphis, New Mexico, Seton Hall, Southern Mississippi, St. Louis, Temple, Virginia

Bubble (7 In, 4 Out):
Central Florida, Colorado State, Iowa State, Minnesota, Nevada, North Carolina State, Northwestern, Oral Roberts, Purdue, Texas, Xavier

Long Shots (19):
Arizona, Arkansas, Cincinnati, Davidson, Long Beach State, Louisiana State, Marshall, Massachusetts, Miami (FL), Middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Notre Dame, Ohio, Oregon, St. Joseph's, Stanford, Virginia Commonwealth, Washington, Wyoming

Bubbles That Have Popped (Top 80 RPI):
Akron, Bucknell, Cleveland State, Colorado, Denver, Iona, Norfolk State, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma, South Dakota State, South Florida, St. Bonaventure, Villanova, Virginia Tech, Weber State