Tournament Summary - Chamionship Game is Set

Well, the championship game is set and it is time to once again evaluate each of the multi-bid conferences.

Here are my estimates based on the matchup combinations we saw Saturday:

3 (Connecticut) vs 4 (Kentucky) - 3 wins 50% of the time
8 (Butler) vs 11 (Virginia Commonwealth) - 8 wins 60% of the time

After applying those numbers to Sunday's games, we get the following results:

	Expected Record		Actual Record		% of Wins Expected
Colonial		3.2 - 5.8		6-3		188%
Pac 10		4.1 - 4.9		5-4		122%
A10		2.7 - 3.3		3-3		111%
ACC		7.7 - 4.3		8-4		104%
SEC		7.1 - 4.9		7-5		99%
Big East		13.7 - 8.3		12-10		88%
Big Ten		8.3 - 5.7		7-7		84%
Mountain West		4.8 - 2.2		4-3		83%
Big 12		7.0 - 3.0		5-5		71%
CUSA		0.8 - 1.2		0-2		0%

Once again, congrats to VCU and the Colonial.  This year's winner won in a landslide.  Don't forget Old Dominion, who lost in the first round to a decent 8 seed... Butler.  The CAA was strong this year.

Big 12, well, thanks for showing up.  Given your seedings and your opponents, your 5-5 record was pretty bad.  To be honest, I know there have been worse performances by a conference in recent years, but as for the 2011 Tournament, the Big 12 gets my vote for "Biggest Disappointment".