Monday, March 28, 2011

Tournament Summary - Final 4

Here are my estimates based on the matchup combinations we saw Sunday:

1 (Kansas) vs 11 (VCU) - 1 wins 90% of the time
2 (North Carolina) vs 4 (Kentucky) - 2 wins 60% of the time

After applying those numbers to Sunday's games, we get the following results:

Expected RecordActual Record% of Wins Expected
Colonial2.8 - 5.26-2214%
Pac 104.1 - 4.95-4122%
A102.7 - 3.33-3111%
SEC6.6 - 4.47-4106%
ACC7.7 - 4.38-4104%
Big Ten8.3 - 5.77-784%
Big East13.2 - 7.811-1083%
Mountain West4.8 - 2.24-383%
Big 127.0 - 3.05-571%
CUSA0.8 - 1.20-20%

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