Projections Through 2/6/12

In my next update I will be adding some additional commentary.  For now, here's a standard update.

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Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (15):
Without a conference tournament, the Ivy League will not have a surprise 2nd team
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Great West, Horizon, Ivy, MAC, MEAC, MAAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southern, Southland, SWAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (5):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Big West (Long Beach State)
Colonial (Virginia Commonwealth)
Summit (Oral Roberts)
Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee)
WAC (Nevada)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (1):
Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
OVC (Murray State)


21 One-Bid Leagues + 10 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 49 teams will get in:
2 "One-Bid League" leaders (Murray State & Harvard) are also atlarge worthy. 2 + 10 + 37 = 49


Fighting For #1 Seeds (7):
Baylor, Duke, Kentucky, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio State, Syracuse

Fighting For Protected Seeds (18):
Creighton, Florida, Florida State, Georgetown, Gonzaga, Kansas, Louisville, Marquette, Michigan, Michigan State, Murray State, San Diego State, Southern Mississippi, St. Mary's, Temple, UNLV, Virginia, Wisconsin

Probable (16):
Alabama, BYU, Colorado State, Connecticut, Harvard, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa State, Kansas State, Memphis, Mississippi State, New Mexico, St. Louis, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Wichita State

Last 8 In:
California, Miami (FL), Minnesota, Notre Dame, Purdue, Seton Hall, Wyoming, Xavier

First 8 Out:
Arizona, Arkansas, Nevada, North Carolina State, Northwestern, Oral Roberts, Texas, Washington

Long Shots (13):
Central Florida, Colorado, Dayton, Drexel, Long Beach State, Louisiana State, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Ohio, Pittsburgh, St. Joseph's, Virginia Commonwealth

Bubbles That Have Popped (Top 80 RPI):
Akron, Bucknell, Cleveland State, Davidson, Duquesne, Iona, La Salle, Massachusetts, Norfolk State, Northern Iowa, South Dakota State, St. Bonaventure, Virginia Tech, Wagner