Projections Through 2/21/12

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (12):
Without a conference tournament, the Ivy League will not have a surprise 2nd team
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Horizon, Ivy, MEAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southern, Southland, SWAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (6):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Big West (Long Beach State)
Colonial (Drexel)
MAAC (Iona)
MAC (Akron)
Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee)
WAC (Nevada)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (2):
Could Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
OVC (Murray State)
Summit (Oral Roberts)

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . . 9 (Min: 7, Max: 9)
Big 10:. . . . 7 (Min: 6, Max: 8)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
ACC: . . . . . 4 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
Mountain West: 4 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
CUSA:. . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
Pac 12:. . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
A-10:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
Colonial:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Big West:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MAAC:. . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MAC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
OVC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Summit:. . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Sun Belt:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
WAC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)


20 One-Bid Leagues + 11 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 51 teams will get in:
3 "One-Bid League" leaders (Harvard, Oral Roberts, Murray State) are also atlarge worthy. 3 + 11 + 37 = 51


Fighting For #1 Seeds (8):
Duke, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan State, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio State, Syracuse

Fighting For Protected Seeds (16):
Baylor, Florida, Florida State, Georgetown, Indiana, Louisville, Marquette, Michigan, New Mexico, Notre Dame, Temple, UNLV, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Wichita State, Wisconsin

Other Locks (11):
California, Creighton, Gonzaga, Kansas State, Memphis, Murray State, San Diego State, Southern Mississippi, St. Louis, St. Mary's, West Virginia

Probable (7):
Magic Number in Parenthesis
Alabama (3), BYU (2), Connecticut (2), Harvard (3), Iowa State (2), Purdue (3), Seton Hall (2)

Last 9 In:
Magic Number in Parenthesis
Arizona (4), Central Florida (4), Cincinnati (3), Colorado State (2), Mississippi State (3), Northwestern (3), Oral Roberts (3), Texas (3), Washington (3)


- - - - - - - - - - - CUT LINE - - - - - - - - - - -


First 6 Out:
Miami (FL), North Carolina State, Oregon, South Florida, St. Joseph's, Xavier

Long Shots (11):
Akron, Arkansas, Colorado, Drexel, Illinois, Iona, Long Beach State, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Minnesota, Wyoming

Bubbles That Have Popped (Top 80 RPI):
Belmont, Cleveland State, Davidson, Dayton, La Salle, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico State, Norfolk State, Northern Iowa, South Dakota State, Virginia Commonwealth, Wagner, Weber State