Projections Through 2/27/12

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (14):
Without a conference tournament, the Ivy League will not have a surprise 2nd team
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Horizon, Ivy, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southern, Southland, SWAC, WAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (3):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Colonial (Drexel & Virginia Commonwealth), MAAC (Iona), Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (3):
Could Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
Big West (Long Beach State), OVC (Murray State), Summit (Oral Roberts)

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . . 9 (Min: 7, Max: 9)
Big 10:. . . . 7 (Min: 6, Max: 8)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
ACC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
Mountain West: 3 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
A-10:. . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
Pac 12:. . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
CUSA:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
Colonial:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Big West:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MAAC:. . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MAC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
OVC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Summit:. . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Sun Belt:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)


20 One-Bid Leagues + 11 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 52 teams will get in:
4 "One-Bid League" leaders (Harvard, Long Beach State, Murray State, Oral Roberts) are also atlarge worthy. 4 + 11 + 37 = 52


The Seeds
Rankd in order within each seed line (magic number for bubble teams in parenthesis)

1 Seeds
Kentucky, Syracuse, Michigan State, Kansas

2 Seeds
Duke, North Carolina, Missouri, Ohio State

3 Seeds
Georgetown, Marquette, Baylor, Michigan

4 Seeds
Wisconsin, Louisville, Indiana, Florida

5 Seeds
Florida State, Wichita State, UNLV, Temple

6 Seeds
Notre Dame, Murray State, Vanderbilt, New Mexico

7 Seeds
Gonzaga, Creighton, San Diego State, Virginia (1)

8 Seeds
Purdue (1), Kansas State (1), Memphis (1), Iowa State

9 Seeds
St. Mary's, Southern Mississippi (1), Alabama (1), California (1)

10 Seeds
St. Louis (1), Connecticut (2), Cincinnati (2), West Virginia (3)

11 Seeds
Washington (2), Harvard (2), BYU (1), Arizona (3)

12 Seeds
Seton Hall (2)
Mississippi State (3)
Miami (FL) (3) (Play-In Game)
Xavier (3) (Play-In Game)
Texas (2) (Play-In Game)
Northwestern (2) (Play-In Game)

13 Seeds
Long Beach State (4)
Oral Roberts (2)


- - - - - - - - - - - CUT LINE - - - - - - - - - - -


Closest 12 Out:
Colorado State (2)
South Florida (2)
VCU (2 leaves them right on the bubble, 3 gives them the auto-bid)
Oregon (4)
St. Joseph's (3)
Central Florida (3)
Dayton (4)
Colorado (3)
Dayton (4)
North Carolina State (4)
Drexel (2 leaves them as a longshot, 3 gives them the auto-bid)
Illinois (3)

Bubbles That Have Popped (Top 70 RPI):
Akron, Belmont, Davidson, Iona, Louisiana State, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico State, Northern Iowa, South Dakota State