Projections Through 3/10/12

These projections will change very little between now and this afternoon when I make my final bracket.  The committee has shown a history of almost ignoring games played on Selection Sunday.  Any changes in the next several hours will more likely be due to a re-evaluation of teams on my part.


Auto Bids (27 of 31 claimed):
America East - Vermont
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Missouri
Big East - Louisville
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - UNC Asheville
Big West - Long Beach State
CAA - Virginia Commonwealth
CUSA - Memphis
Horizon - Detroit
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Loyola-MD
MAC - Ohio
MEAC - Norfolk State
Mountain West - New Mexico
MVC - Creighton
NEC - Long Island
OVC - Murray State
Pac 12 - Colorado
Patriot - Lehigh
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Lamar
Summit - South Dakota State
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
SWAC - Mississippi Valley State
WAC - New Mexico State
WCC - St. Mary's

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . .10 (Min: 9, Max: 10)
Big 10:. . . . 6 (Min: 6, Max: 6)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 6, Max: 6)
ACC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 4 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
Mountain West: 4 (Min: 4, Max: 4)
A-10:. . . . . 3 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 3, Max: 3)
Pac 12:. . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
CUSA:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 2)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 2)
Colonial:. . . 2 (Min: 1, Max: 2)

The Seeds
Ranked in order within each seed line, teams in bold have clenched auto-bids

1 - Kentucky, Syracuse, North Carolina, Kansas

2 - Ohio State, Michigan State, Missouri, Duke

3 - Baylor, Marquette, Michigan, Georgetown

4 - Wisconsin, Indiana, Florida State, Louisville

5 - Wichita State, Florida, Vanderbilt, Temple

6 - UNLV, New Mexico, Notre Dame, San Diego State

7 - Cincinnati, Creighton, Murray State, Memphis

8 - St. Mary's, Gonzaga, Iowa State, Kansas State

9 - Purdue, Connecticut, St. Louis, Alabama

10 - Virginia, West Virginia, Southern Mississippi, California

11 - Harvard, BYU, Colorado State, Xavier

12 - Texas, Virginia Commonwealth, South Florida, North Carolina State, Seton Hall, Drexel

13 - Long Beach State, Colorado, Belmont, New Mexico State

14 - South Dakota State, Davidson, Ohio, Montana

15 - Lehigh, Loyola-MD, Detroit, UNC Asheville

16 - Lamar, Long Island, Vermont (Play-In), Norfolk State (Play-In), Mississippi Valley State (Play-In), Western Kentucky (Play-In)

Last 6 In:
Xavier
Texas
South Florida
North Carolina State
Seton Hall
Drexel

First 6 Out:
Mississippi State
Washington
Miami-FL
Arizona
Tennessee
Northwestern