Projections Through 3/4/12

I edited my post from earlier today.  I made a few small adjustments in the seeding as well as adding Tennessee and Mississippi into the mix.

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Auto Bids (4 of 31 claimed):
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big South - UNC Asheville
MVC - Creighton
OVC - Murray State

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (17):
Without a conference tournament, the Ivy League will not have a surprise 2nd team
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Sun Belt, SWAC, WAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (2):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Big West (Long Beach State)
Colonial (Drexel & Virginia Commonwealth)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (1):
Could Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
Summit (Oral Roberts)

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . .10 (Min: 8, Max: 10)
Big 10:. . . . 7 (Min: 6, Max: 7)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
ACC: . . . . . 4 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
Mountain West: 4 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
A-10:. . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
Pac 12:. . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
CUSA:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 2)
Colonial:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Big West:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Summit:. . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)

20 One-Bid Leagues + 11 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 51 teams will get in:
3 "One-Bid League" leaders (Harvard, Murray State, Oral Roberts) are also atlarge worthy. 3 + 11 + 37 = 51


The Seeds
Ranked in order within each seed line

1 - Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, North Carolina

2 - Ohio State, Duke, Missouri, Michigan State

3 - Marquette, Michigan, Georgetown, Baylor

4 - Indiana, Wisconsin, Florida State, Temple

5 - Wichita State, Louisville, Florida, UNLV

6 - Vanderbilt, Murray State, Creighton, Notre Dame

7 - New Mexico, Gonzaga, San Diego State, Memphis

8 - Iowa State, Kansas State, St. Mary's, Purdue

9 - Virginia, Cincinnati, St. Louis, Alabama

10 - Southern Mississippi, California, Washington, Harvard

11 - West Virginia, Connecticut, Mississippi State, BYU

12 - Northwestern, South Florida, Oral Roberts, Colorado State (Play-In), Xavier (Play-In)

13 - Texas (Play-In), Seton Hall (Play-In Game), AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID

14 - AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID

15 - AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID

16 - AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID, AUTO-BID (Play-In), AUTO-BID (Play-In), AUTO-BID (Play-In), AUTO-BID (Play-In)

Last 4 In:
Colorado State (Likely need to beat TCU in MWC Tourney to secure atlarge bid
Xavier (Likely need to beat Dayton/George Washington in A10 Tourney to secure atlarge bid)
Texas (Likely need to beat Iowa State in Big 12 Tourney to secure atlarge bid)
Seton Hall (Likely need 2 wins in Big East Tourney to secure atlarge bid)

First 9 Out:
Oregon (Likely need a championship game appearance in Pac 12 Tourney for chance at atlarge bid)
Miami-FL (Likely need to win 2 games in ACC Tourney to secure atlarge bid)
Arizona (Likely need a championship game appearance in Pac 12 Tourney for chance at atlarge bid)
VCU (playing in CAA final today for auto-bid, doubtful for atlarge if they lose)
Drexel (playing in CAA final today for auto-bid, doubtful for atlarge if they lose)
Tennessee (Need to reach SEC finals for atlarge chance, would be right on the bubble)
North Carolina State (Need 2 ACC Tourney wins for chance at atlarge bid, 3 wins to feel secure)
St. Joseph's (Need to reach finals in A10 Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Mississippi (Need to reach finals in SEC Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Central Florida (Need to reach finals in CUSA Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)