Tournament Summary 2012 - Sweet 16

I have updated my chart through this weekend's games.  Take a look.

	Expected Record		Actual Record		% of Wins Expected
Big Ten		7.7 - 3.3		9-2		117%
A10		2.7 - 3.3		3-3		111%
SEC		5.0 - 2.0		5-2		100%
Pac 12		1.0 - 2.0		1-2		100%
Big 12		6.0 - 4.0		6-4		100%
ACC		5.1 - 2.9		5-3		98%
Big East		10.3 - 5.7		10-6		97%
WCC		2.1 - 2.9		2-3		95%
MVC		1.4 - 1.6		1-2		71%
Mountain West		2.9 - 2.1		1-4		34%

I am amazed at how close to expectations things have played out so far.  The Big Ten is the only conference with any level of significant overachievement while the Mountain West is the only truly disappointing conference.  In fact, now the the Mountain West has been completely eliminated for the year and have no chance to improve from here on out, I am officially going to nominate them for the "most dissapointing" conference award for not only 2012, but for recent years.  I will write more on this topic in other post, but you can reference last year's conference performances here and see that the Mountain West was disappointing last year as well.

Don't forget that following the season I will begin to release a list of the most impressive and dissapointing teams over the last 2 decades.  It will be done using the same method as my conference analysis, but should be more helpful because there will be a much larger sample size of games.