Projections Through 3/6/12

Auto Bids (12 of 31 claimed):
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big South - UNC Asheville
CAA - Virginia Commonwealth
Horizon - Detroit
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Loyola-MD
MVC - Creighton
OVC - Murray State
Southern - Davidson
Summit - South Dakota State
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
WCC - St. Mary's

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (19):
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (1):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Colonial (Drexel)

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . .10 (Min: 8, Max: 10)
Big 10:. . . . 7 (Min: 6, Max: 7)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
ACC: . . . . . 4 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
Mountain West: 4 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
A-10:. . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
Pac 12:. . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
CUSA:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 2)
Colonial:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)


20 One-Bid Leagues + 11 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 50 teams will get in:
2 "One-Bid League" leaders (Harvard, Murray State) are also atlarge worthy. 2 + 11 + 37 = 50


The Seeds
Ranked in order within each seed line, auto-bid winners in bold

1 - Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, North Carolina

2 - Ohio State, Duke, Missouri, Michigan State

3 - Marquette, Michigan, Georgetown, Baylor

4 - Indiana, Wisconsin, Florida State, Temple

5 - Wichita State, Louisville, Florida, UNLV

6 - Vanderbilt, Murray State, Creighton, Notre Dame

7 - New Mexico, San Diego State, St. Mary's, Gonzaga

8 - Memphis, Iowa State, Kansas State, Purdue

9 - Virginia, Cincinnati, St. Louis, Alabama

10 - Southern Mississippi, California, Harvard, West Virginia

11 - Connecticut, Mississippi State, BYU, Washington

12 - Northwestern, South Florida, Colorado State (Play-In), Xavier (Play-In), Texas (Play-In), Seton Hall (Play-In)

13 - Virginia Commonwealth, Belmont, Davidson, South Dakota State

14 - Loyola-MD, Detroit, Auto-Bid, Auto-Bid

15 - UNC Asheville, Auto-Bid, Auto-Bid, Auto-Bid

16 - Western Kentucky, Auto-Bid, Auto-Bid (Play-In), Auto-Bid (Play-In), Auto-Bid (Play-In), Auto-Bid (Play-In)

Last 8 In:
BYU (lost in MWC semis, rooting against fellow bubble teams still playing who could pass them)
Washington (#1 seed in Pac 12 Tourney but lacking quality wins, need to reach finals to feel safe)
Northwestern (must beat Minnesota to remain in discussion, must then beat Michigan to feel safe)
South Florida (a bad loss to Villanova/Rutgers would pop their bubble, may also need to beat ND)
Colorado State (Likely need to beat TCU in MWC Tourney to feel safe)
Xavier (Likely need to beat Dayton/George Washington in A10 Tourney to feel safe)
Seton Hall (a win against Louisville would secure their bid)
Texas (Likely need to beat Iowa State in Big 12 Tourney to feel safe)


First 9 Out:
Oregon (Likely need a championship game appearance in Pac 12 Tourney for chance at atlarge bid)
Miami-FL (Likely need to win 2 games in ACC Tourney to secure atlarge bid)
Tennessee (Need to reach SEC semi-finals for atlarge chance, probably need to reach SEC finals)
Drexel (lost in CAA final, rooting against fellow bubble teams still playing)
Arizona (Likely need a championship game appearance in Pac 12 Tourney for chance at atlarge bid)
North Carolina State (Need 2 ACC Tourney wins for atlarge chance, finals appearance to feel safe)
St. Joseph's (Need to reach finals in A10 Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Mississippi (Need to reach finals in SEC Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Central Florida (Need to reach finals in CUSA Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)