Projections Through 3/1/12

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (14):
Without a conference tournament, the Ivy League will not have a surprise 2nd team
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Horizon, Ivy, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, Patriot, Southern, Southland, SWAC, WAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (3):
2nd Bid is unlikely, but can't be ruled out yet
Colonial (Drexel & Virginia Commonwealth), MAAC (Iona), Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (3):
Could Become Multi-Bid League if Regular Season Winner Losses in Conference Tournament
Big West (Long Beach State), OVC (Murray State), Summit (Oral Roberts)

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . .10 (Min: 8, Max: 10)
Big 10:. . . . 7 (Min: 6, Max: 7)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
ACC: . . . . . 4 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
Mountain West: 4 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
Pac 12:. . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
A-10:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
CUSA:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
Colonial:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Big West:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MAAC:. . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MAC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
OVC: . . . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Summit:. . . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Sun Belt:. . . 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)


20 One-Bid Leagues + 11 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 52 teams will get in:
4 "One-Bid League" leaders (Harvard, Long Beach State, Murray State, Oral Roberts) are also atlarge worthy. 4 + 11 + 37 = 52


The Seeds
Rankd in order within each seed line (magic number for bubble teams in parenthesis)

1 - Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, Duke

2 - North Carolina, Michigan State, Missouri, Ohio State

3 - Georgetown, Baylor, Michigan, Marquette

4 - Indiana, Wisconsin, Florida State, Wichita State

5 - Louisville, Florida, Temple, Vanderbilt

6 - UNLV, Notre Dame, Murray State, New Mexico

7 - Gonzaga, Creighton, San Diego State, Purdue

8 - Memphis, Kansas State, Iowa State, Virginia (1)

9 - St. Mary's, Cincinnati (1), Southern Mississippi, St. Louis

10 - Alabama, California (1), Washington (1), Harvard (2)

11 - West Virginia (2), BYU (1), Arizona (2), Seton Hall (2)

12 Seeds
South Florida (1)
Mississippi State (1)
Long Beach State (3 makes them probable, 4 gives them the auto-bid)
Oral Roberts (2)
Connecticut (2) (Play-In Game)
Texas (1) (Play-In Game)

13 Seeds
Colorado State (1) (Play-In Game)
Northwestern (2) (Play-In Game)


- - - - - - - - - - - CUT LINE - - - - - - - - - - -


Closest 9 Out:
Miami-FL (3)
Xavier (3)
Oregon (3)
VCU (2 leaves them right on the bubble, 3 gives them the auto-bid)
North Carolina State (3)
Drexel (2 leaves them as a longshot, 3 gives them the auto-bid)
Central Florida (3)
St. Joseph's (2 leaves them as a longshot, 3 gives them the auto-bid)
Colorado (3)

Bubbles That Have Popped (Top 70 RPI):
Belmont, Davidson, Dayton, Iona, Middle Tennessee, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico State, Northern Iowa, South Dakota State, Weber State