Projections Through 3/8/12

Auto Bids (15 of 31 claimed):
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - UNC Asheville
CAA - Virginia Commonwealth
Horizon - Detroit
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Loyola-MD
MVC - Creighton
NEC - Long Island
OVC - Murray State
Patriot - Lehigh
Southern - Davidson
Summit - South Dakota State
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
WCC - St. Mary's

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (19):
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Summit, Sun Belt, SWAC, WAC

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (1):
Colonial (VCU gets the autobid, Drexel still waiting to see if they get atlarge)

Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East:. . .10 (Min: 8, Max: 10)
Big 10:. . . . 6 (Min: 6, Max: 7)
Big 12:. . . . 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC: . . . . . 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
ACC: . . . . . 4 (Min: 4, Max: 6)
Mountain West: 4 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
WCC: . . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
A-10:. . . . . 3 (Min: 2, Max: 4)
CUSA:. . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
MVC: . . . . . 2 (Min: 2, Max: 2)
Pac 12:. . . . 2 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Colonial:. . . 2 (Min: 1, Max: 2)


19 One-Bid Leagues + 12 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 51 teams will get in:
2 "One-Bid League" leaders (Harvard, Murray State) are also atlarge worthy. 2 + 12 + 37 = 51


The Seeds
Ranked in order within each seed line, teams in bold have clenched auto-bids

1 - Kentucky, Syracuse, Kansas, North Carolina

2 - Ohio State, Duke, Missouri, Michigan State

3 - Baylor, Marquette, Michigan, Georgetown

4 - Indiana, Wisconsin, Louisville, Florida State

5 - Temple, Wichita State, Florida, UNLV

6 - Vanderbilt, Notre Dame, Murray State, Creighton

7 - New Mexico, San Diego State, St. Mary's, Gonzaga

8 - Memphis, Cincinnati, Iowa State, Purdue

9 - Kansas State, Virginia, St. Louis, Alabama

10 - Southern Mississippi, Connecticut, California, Harvard

11 - West Virginia, Colorado State, BYU, Texas

12 - Virginia Commonwealth, Xavier, South Florida, Washington (Play-In), Mississippi State (Play-In)

13 - Seton Hall (Play-In), Drexel (Play-In), Long Beach State, Nevada, Belmont

14 - South Dakota State, Davidson, Akron, Montana

15 - Lehigh, Loyola-MD, Detroit, UNC Asheville

16 - Lamar, Long Island, Stony Brook (Play-In), Norfolk State (Play-In), Mississippi Valley State (Play-In), Western Kentucky (Play-In)

Last 8 In:
BYU (should be safe, still rooting against bubble teams)
Texas (should be safe, can remove all doubt with win over Missouri today)
Xavier (Likely need to beat Dayton in A10 Tourney today to feel safe)
South Florida (probably still in field after loss to Notre Dame, still rooting against bubble teams)
Washington (terrible loss to Oregon State might end up costing them their chance to dance)
Mississippi State (probably still in field after loss to Georgia, still rooting against bubble teams)
Seton Hall (lost to Louisville in Big East 2nd round game, going to be right on the Bubble on Sunday)
Drexel (lost in CAA final, going to be right on the Bubble on Sunday)

First 9 Out:
Miami-FL (Likely need to beat Florida State today in ACC Tourney to secure atlarge bid)
Tennessee (Need to beat Mississippi today to stay alive for atlarge, probably need to reach SEC finals)
Northwestern (hard to see how they get a bid after losing to Minnesota)
Arizona (Likely need a championship game appearance in Pac 12 Tourney for chance at atlarge bid)
North Carolina State (Must beat Virginia to keep hopes alive, need finals appearance to feel safe)
St. Joseph's (Need to reach finals in A10 Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Mississippi (Need to reach finals in SEC Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Central Florida (Need to reach finals in CUSA Tourney for atlarge chance, likely still not enough)
Oregon (Losing to Colorado all but burst their bubble)