Projections Through 2/10/11

I've been doing these projections on message boards for years.  Slowly, I've refined my template... always trying to cram more information into a easier to read format.  Anyway, here goes...

Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (17):
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Ivy League, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Summit, Sunbelt, SWAC

Probable 1 Bid Leagues (2):
Horizon (0 in as of today, 2 bubbles yet to burst)
MVC (0 in as of today, 2 bubbles yet to burst)

Possible 1 Bid Leagues (3):
CUSA (1 in as of today & 3 bubbles yet to burst)
WAC (1 in as of today)
WCC (1 in as of today & 1 bubble yet to burst)

19 One-Bid Leagues + 12 Tournament Winners With Atlarge Resumes + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68

The top 49 teams will get in:

Fighting For #1 Seeds (10):
BYU, Connecticut, Duke, Georgetown, Kansas, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Pittsburgh, San Diego State, Texas

Fighting For Protected Seeds (16):
Arizona, Florida, Florida State, Kentucky, Louisville, Missouri, North Carolina, Purdue, Syracuse, Tennessee, Texas A&M, UCLA, Vanderbilt, Villanova, West Virginia, Wisconsin

Probable (9):
George Mason, Illinois, Memphis, St. Mary’s, St. John’s, Temple, UNLV, Washington, Xavier

Possible (14 In, 17 Out):
Minnesota
Cincinnati
Kansas State
Georgia
Marquette
Utah State
Clemson
Old Dominion
Baylor
Richmond
Virginia Tech
Duquesne
UTEP
Virginia Commonwealth

----- CUT LINE -----

Boston College
Alabama
Maryland
Cleveland State
Colorado State
Oklahoma State
New Mexico
UAB
Southern Mississippi
Michigan State
Wichita State
Missouri State
Butler
Gonzaga
Dayton
Michigan
Washington State

The media might talk about the following teams, but their bubble has POPPED:
Belmont (22-4, RPI 61) - Winless vs. the top 100 + no remaining chances for a quality win = Auto Bid or Bust!

By Conference:
Big East:     11  (Min: 9, Max: 11)
Big 12:        6  (Min: 5, Max: 7)
ACC:           5  (Min: 4, Max: 7)
Big 10:        5  (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC:           5  (Min: 5, Max: 6)
A-10:          4  (Min: 3, Max: 4)
Mountain West: 3  (Min: 3, Max: 4)
Pac 10:        3  (Min: 3, Max: 4)
Colonial:      3  (Min: 1, Max: 3)
CUSA:          2  (Min: 1, Max: 3)
Horizon:       1  (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MVC:           1  (Min: 1, Max: 2)
WAC:           1  (Min: 1, Max: 2)
WCC:           1  (Min: 1, Max: 2)
17 Leagues have no chance at an atlarge