Well, BYU just lost their 1 seed. I don't think any of us saw an 18 point home loss to New Mexico on the radar. This team could drop as far as a 4 seed if they don't finish strong. Very interesting!
Kansas and Ohio State are almost locks now for #1 seeds. There is a pretty good battle going on for the last two #1 spots.
Bubbles that popped last night: Minnesota, Maryland
12:26 PM: ALL UPDATES FOR TODAY'S PROJECTIONS HAVE NOW BEEN MADE.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Guaranteed 1 Bid Leagues (17):
America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Ivy League, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Northeast, OVC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Summit, Sunbelt, SWAC
Possible 1 Bid Leagues (4):
Keep an eye on these conference tourneys!
CUSA (1 in as of today, 2 bubbles yet to burst)
MVC (1 in as of today, 0 bubbles yet to burst)
Horizon (1 in as of today, 1 bubble yet to burst)
WAC (1 in as of today, 0 bubbles yet to burst)
Possible Multi-Bid Leagues:
Big East: 11 (Min: 10, Max: 11)
Big 10: 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
SEC: 6 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
Big 12: 5 (Min: 5, Max: 6)
ACC: 5 (Min: 4, Max: 5)
Pac 10: 4 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
Mountain West: 3 (Min: 3, Max: 4)
A-10: 3 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
Colonial: 2 (Min: 2, Max: 3)
WCC: 2 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
CUSA: 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
Horizon: 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
WAC: 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
MVC: 1 (Min: 1, Max: 2)
21 One-Bid Leagues + 10 Tournament Winners From Multi-Bid Leagues + 37 Atlarge Bids = 68
The top 51 teams will get in:
4 "One-Bid League" leaders are also atlarge worthy. 4 + 10 + 37 = 51
Fighting For #1 Seeds (7):
Duke, Kansas, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Pittsburgh, Purdue, Wisconsin
Fighting For Protected Seeds (14):
Arizona, BYU, Connecticut, Florida, Georgetown, Kentucky, Louisville, North Carolina, San Diego State, St. John’s, Syracuse, Texas, UCLA, Villanova
Other Locks (12):
Cincinnati, George Mason, Kansas State, Missouri, Old Dominion, Temple, Tennessee, Texas A&M, UNLV, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Xavier
Bubble (18 In, 10 Out):
Chance of finishing with atlarge worthy resume listed as %
Washington - 95%
Georgia -90%
Gonzaga - 90%
Florida State - 85%
UAB - 85%
Marquette - 80%
Utah State - 80%
Illinois - 75%
Michigan State - 75%
Butler - 65%
St. Mary’s - 55%
Boston College - 55%
Virginia Tech - 50%
Richmond - 50%
Michigan - 45%
Alabama - 30%
Washington State - 25%
Missouri State - 25%
----- CUT LINE -----
Clemson - 25%
Colorado State - 20%
Nebraska - 20%
Baylor - 20%
USC - 15%
Cleveland State - 10%
Memphis - 10%
Colorado - 5%
Southern Mississippi - 5%
Marshall - 5%
Top RPI teams whose bubble has already POPPED:
Harvard (19-5, RPI 43) - Without a conference tourney, they can't afford another loss
Princeton (21-5, RPI 49) - 2 terrible losses and not nearly enough to make up for them
Wichita State (22-7, RPI 50) - Great record vs bad teams, but 0 wins vs the RPI top 90
Central Florida (18-9, RPI 53) - Started 13-0, but are 4-9 since then
Oakland (21-9, RPI 54) - There aren't any quality teams to lose to in the Summit League Tournament
Belmont (28-4, RPI 55) - Will finish with 0 top 100 wins
Oklahoma State (18-11, RPI 56) - Currently 6-9 in the Big 12 with mostly double digit losses
Penn State (15-13, RPI 59) - 13 losses including a home loss to Maine is too much to overcome
Drexel (20-9, RPI 61) - 2 terrible losses and not nearly enough to make up for them
UTEP (21-8, RPI 62) - With another loss, RPI will finish in the 60s at best
Virginia Commonwealth (21-10, RPI 64) - Too many losses down the stretch + RPI will finish outside top 50
Minnesota (17-12, RPI 66) - Has now lost 8 of their last 9 games
California (16-13, RPI 67) - Not enough big wins to counter a 14th loss
Miami FL (18-12, RPI 69) - Currently 5-9 in the ACC
No comments:
Post a Comment